Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Independiente Rivadavia		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3	4
	2	2.8	4.1
	2	3	3.8
	2.1	3.04	4.18
	2	2.88	3.9
	2.04	3.1	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3 ↓ (3.09)	3.99 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
45.9%

Draw
30.8%

Defensores de Belgrano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

30.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

31.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	60.6%	15.2%

Independiente Rivadavia - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Defensores will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 60.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 26 and 16).

Independiente Rivadavia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores de Belgrano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Rivadavia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.04.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	2:1 ✺
28.03.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
22.03.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 ✺
17.03.22	Sacachispas - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Deportivo Maipú - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
28.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.08.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1
29.03.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2
03.11.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1

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