Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jose Antonio Valle (Mar del Plata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Kimberley de Mar del Plata		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.77	2.85	4.80
	1.77	2.95	4.90
	1.75	2.90	5.13
	1.83	2.94	5.47	Watch
	1.72	2.85	5.05
	1.79	3.03	5.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	2.92 ↓ (3.25)	5.15 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kimberley de Mar del Plata
51.3%

Draw
31.1%

Guillermo Brown
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.7%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

28.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kimberley de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kimberley will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baez N. (G) 6. Aquino A. 9. Castillo S. 4. Loscalso T. 3. Manas F. 5. Miori M. 11. Russo F. 8. Tello L. 7. Ullua E. 2. Vazquez A. 10. Zarate J.	1. Grinovero A. (G) 11. Bravo I. 4. Conde M. 9. Cucchi P. 6. Diaz R. 7. Esmay V. 8. Kostelak A. 3. Moreno E. 2. Paparelli R. 5. Silva F. 10. Zapulla I.
Substitutes
12. Aguayo D. (G) 19. Avalos V. 18. Chavez S. 15. De Gaetani A. 13. Di Molfetta M. 14. Masino M. 20. Rios R. 16. Sosa H. 17. Zanelli E.	13. Alvarez A. 19. Dezi L. 15. Giaccone F. 18. Hang F. 17. Lopez R. 20. Ojeda A. 12. Ullua S. (G) 16. Varela N. 14. Villegas F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Castillo S. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, Castillo S. ⚽,
84', Cucchi P. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, Miori M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Kimberley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guillermo Brown is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kimberley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kimberley is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kimberley won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Kimberley de Mar del Plata
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Alvarado	2:2 ✺
07.06.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Villa Mitre - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTLWT
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.06.26	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Guillermo Brown	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Guillermo Brown - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:4
05.07.25	Guillermo Brown - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0
04.05.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Guillermo Brown	1:1

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