Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)


	Germinal		Juventud Unida Universitario

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.45	3.30
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	2.49	2.47	3.74
	2.56	2.33	3.92	Watch
	2.45	2.20	3.70
	2.53	2.83	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)	2.49 ↓ (2.88)	3.44 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
36.6%

Draw
36.8%

Juventud Unida Universitario
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Germinal - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. Carcamo F. 10. Lencina K. 3. Moreno A. 8. Nunez G. 2. Rios N. 7. Santilli E. 6. Teran I. 11. Velazquez J. 5. Veloso L. 4. Yocco L.	1. Lucero J. (G) 10. Aman Campos F. 2. Benenatti J. 5. Chavarria C. 7. Dorato M. 3. Figueroa L. 9. Lucero L. 11. Noguera F. 6. Ojeda G. 8. Perez L. 4. Rosales J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Lencina K. ⚽,
56', Lucero L. ↓, Amieva J. ↑,
56', Noguera F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, De Hoyos D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Aman Campos F. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Alvarado - Germinal	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Villa Mitre - Germinal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWT
- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - Cipolletti	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - FADEP	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Rincón - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.08.25	Germinal - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0

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