Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)


	Guillermo Brown		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.01	3.55
	2.03	3.32	3.57	Watch
	2.13	3.37	3.32	Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.82)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.56 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
45.4%

Draw
28.4%

Sportivo Belgrano
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guillermo Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Guillermo Brown - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soria M. (G) 6. Actis D. 3. Bravo I. 5. Chiavetto A. 11. Gimenez M. 7. Gonzalez L. 4. Mera B. 9. Morales E. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 8. Silva A.	1. Roggero S. (G) 6. Alessandria C. 11. Avaro E. (C) 9. Brylko H. 2. Camisassa B. 4. Culasso L. 8. Franceschi E. 5. Gimenez J. 3. Pennesi T. 7. Rossi J. 10. Sagristani M.
Substitutes
18. Ilarregui F. 15. Kostelak A. 13. Lazarte G. 19. Paileman R. 17. Persia M. 16. Rodriguez F. 20. Trigo S. 12. Ullua S. (G) 14. Zubowicz M.	13. Coceres G. 18. Forlin M. 16. Franco D. 17. Jaime J. 19. Lehmann A. 12. Martina L. (G) 15. Nallim T. 20. Tomadoni J. 14. Vidal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Morales E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Franceschi E. ↓, Jaime J. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Morales E. ⚽,
55', Silva A. ↓, Kostelak A. ↑,
56', Sagristani M. ↓, Forlin M. ↑,
67', Brylko H. ↓, Franco D. ↑,
70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ilarregui F. ↑,
76', Gimenez J. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Guillermo Brown is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sportivo Belgrano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guillermo Brown is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Guillermo Brown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.25	Villa Mitre - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guillermo Brown - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Guillermo Brown	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Guillermo Brown - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Huracán Las Heras - Guillermo Brown	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWW
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.11.15	Sportivo Belgrano - Guillermo Brown	0:2
14.06.15	Guillermo Brown - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0

Upcoming Matches