Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
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Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Guingamp		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.42	3.45	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.76
	2.48	3.5	2.67	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.63
	2.58	3.79	2.49	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.53)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
38%

Draw
26.4%

Saint-Étienne
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Guingamp - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Saint-Étienne (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Koffi E. 7. Gomis D. 22. Sissoko A. 29. Abdallah A. 11. Sagna A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 17. Mbemba F. 21. Demoncy Y. 9. Mafouta L.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 39. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. 3. Nade M. 11. Old B. 14. Kante A. 28. Miladinovic I. 7. Cardona I. 20. Boakye A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 9. Stassin L.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 36. Demouchy A. 20. Hatchi J. 27. Kielt S. 3. Matumona J. 34. Njoya Y.	19. Annan E. 8. Appiah D. 17. Duffus J. 35. Gadegbeku L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 25. N'Guessan D.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Montanier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
14', 0 - 2, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
25', Mafouta L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Sissoko A. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Gomis D. ⚽, Demoncy Y. (A),
66', Sagna A. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
66', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
74', Cardona I. 🟨,
75', Mbemba F. ↓, Njoya Y. ↑,
75', Demoncy Y. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
78', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
85', Stassin L. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
85', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.

Guingamp is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Saint-Étienne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Knee Injury) Matumona J. (Yellow Cards) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Nair S. (Inactive) Planeix I. (Inactive) Samoura A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Red Card) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Soumahoro A. (Knee Injury) Tardieu F. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guingamp: Ott G. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

St Etienne: 56.34% Guingamp: 2.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19:8	11	16
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
06.02.26	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Montpellier - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Guingamp - Troyes	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nancy - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWWW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
07.02.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Reims - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Clermont	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Le Mans - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.09.25	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	2:3
04.05.24	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	2:2
05.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	1:3
06.05.23	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	3:2
17.09.22	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	2:1
French Ligue 1
12.01.19	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	0:1
11.08.18	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	2:1

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