The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guingamp 24.9%
Draw 25.9%
Saint-Étienne 49.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23%
27.5%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
26.9%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Guingamp - Saint Étienne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion - Ligue 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
Guingamp has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Saint-Étienne is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Saint-Étienne may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Saint-Étienne for this game.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Guingamp has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:28 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guingamp against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
St Etienne
10
8
1
1
23:8
15
25
11
Guingamp
10
3
2
5
13:15
-2
11
Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now
St Etienne: 64.5% Guingamp: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Saint-Étienne - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.