The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guingamp 42.2%
Draw 27.8%
Pau 29.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
26.3%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
27.5%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guingamp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Guingamp - Pau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (C) 2. Koffi E. 24. Dianganga J. 35. Fondja N. 5. Ollila T. 20. Ben Brahim S. 25. Ducrocq T. 10. Hemia A. 18. Kielt S. 21. Ahile T. 11. Averlant T.
1. Maubleu B. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 29. Paquiez G. 23. Briancon A. (C) 88. Bamba A. 39. Tourraine M. 6. Fall C. 5. Rajot L. 10. Brahimi B. 9. Leye B. 7. Benali H.
Substitutes
38. Aucan E. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 22. Bokangu B. 33. Fomba I. 4. Louiserre D. 31. Matondo J. 3. Matumona J. 17. Samoura A. 8. Sanchez Da Silva F.
97. Abdallah A. 8. Basse S. 25. Daubin Q. 4. Dodote A. 27. Gadegbeku L. 56. Mbaye A. 22. Mimb Baheng R. 30. Salles E. (G) 18. Sebas J.
Coaches
Ripoll S.
Debes T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Fall C. ⚽, Rajot L. (A),
13', Briancon A. 🟨,
25', Paquiez G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Brahimi B. ⚽, Briancon A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ahile T. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑,
46', Briancon A. ↓, Mimb Baheng R. ↑,
57', Ducrocq T. ↓, Sanchez Da Silva F. ↑,
57', Ollila T. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
62', Brahimi B. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
66', Sebas J. 🟨,
66', Benali H. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
67', Kielt S. ↓, Louiserre D. ↑,
74', Fondja N. 🟨,
74', Fondja N. ↓, Fomba I. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Averlant T. ⚽,
80', Leye B. ↓, Mbaye A. ↑,
80', Pouilly T. ↓, Abdallah A. ↑,
83', Dianganga J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.
In recent outings, Guingamp has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pau shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guingamp holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Guingamp: Chamakh J.
(Inactive)
Demouchy A.
(Red Card)
Gomis D.
(Red Card)
Muntu Wa Mungu V.
(Inactive)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ott G.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Pau: Daubin Q.
(Inactive)
Dodote A.
(Inactive)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Lefebvre A.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Guingamp has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:14 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guingamp against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 15:6 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Pau FC
10
5
2
3
13:10
3
17
11
Guingamp
10
3
2
5
13:15
-2
11
Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now
Guingamp: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Guingamp - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.45%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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Ortola A. (C) 
Koffi E. 
Dianganga J. 
Ollila T. 
Averlant T. 
Tourraine M. 
Fall C. 
Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 
Abdallah A. 
Mimb Baheng R. 
Sebas J. 
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