Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free


	Guingamp		Pau

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.45	3.3
	2.11	3.66	3.48
	2.03	3.67	3.12	Watch
	2.13	3.4	3.29	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.06)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
45.2%

Draw
26.5%

Pau
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Guingamp - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 7. Gomis D. 36. Demouchy A. 29. Abdallah A. 11. Sagna A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 6. N'Landu D. 23. Ourega D. 10. Hemia A. 9. Mafouta L.	30. Salles E. (G) 3. Kalulu J. 97. Meddah D. 23. Briancon A. 2. Pouilly T. 6. Fall C. 21. Beusnard S. (C) 9. Dong K. 14. Bobichon A. 10. Versini G. 7. Messi R.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 33. Gassama E. 20. Hatchi J. 27. Kielt S. 2. Koffi E. 40. Marec N. (G) 24. Ott G.	26. Glossoa N. 19. Kante 40. Paradowski T. (G) 18. Sadik O. 17. Sissoko O. 84. Touzghar R. 87. Zuliani E.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Fall C. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Hemia A. ⚽,
29', Fall C. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
38', 2 - 1, Pouilly T. ⚽, Meddah D. (A),
39', N'Landu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bobichon A. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
57', Dong K. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
66', N'Landu D. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
66', Ourega D. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
68', Zuliani E. 🟨,
74', Briancon A. 🟨,
76', Messi R. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
77', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
78', Sagna A. ↓, Koffi E. ↑,
90+3', Meddah D. 🟨,
90+3', Hemia A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Sissoko O. ⚽,
90+4', Pouilly T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guingamp may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guingamp might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pau: Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Yellow Cards) Ruiz J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guingamp: Sidibe K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pau: Raveyre N. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Guingamp - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
31.10.25	Guingamp - Laval	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Grenoble - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Guingamp - Clermont	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Boulogne - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Guingamp - Nancy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLTT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
03.11.25	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
28.10.25	Saint-Étienne - Pau	6:0 ✺
24.10.25	Pau - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Pau - Clermont	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.05.25	Pau - Guingamp	1:3
18.10.24	Guingamp - Pau	0:1
27.04.24	Pau - Guingamp	1:2
26.08.23	Guingamp - Pau	4:0
22.04.23	Pau - Guingamp	2:1
30.07.22	Guingamp - Pau	4:0
19.04.22	Guingamp - Pau	3:0

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