Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Andorra	14:00	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Sport 3
Canada	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	15:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 1, Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	Viaplay
Finland	15:00	Viaplay
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	14:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	14:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	14:00	Viaplay
Serbia	14:00	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Sweden	14:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	16:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Usa	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Guingamp		Troyes

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.58	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.67	3.2	2.87
	2.69	3.19	2.64	Watch
	2.63	3	2.63
	2.64	3.02	2.76	Watch
	2.66	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.67)	3.13 ↓ (3.41)	2.68 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
35.5%

Draw
29.7%

Troyes
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

27.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Guingamp - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 7. Gomis D. 18. Nair S. 29. Abdallah A. 11. Sagna A. 8. Sidibe K. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 24. Ott G. 21. Demoncy Y. 9. Mafouta L.	40. Konate H. (G) 44. Titi Y. 23. Gambor H. 6. Monfray A. (C) 14. Boura I. 26. Phliponeau A. 17. Mille A. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 11. Detourbet M. 20. Ripart R.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 36. Demouchy A. 20. Hatchi J. 2. Koffi E. 17. Mbemba F. 19. Samoura A.	21. Bentayeb T. 1. Boucher Z. (G) 9. El Idrissy M. 2. Maronnier L. 35. Murcy R. 12. Odede E. 15. Ouzenadji A.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Dumont S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Boura I. 🟨,
32', Gomis D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
51', Mille A. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
52', Ouzenadji A. 🟨,
65', Sagna A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
65', Ott G. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Samoura A. ⚽, Demoncy Y. (A),
72', Gambor H. 🟨,
77', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
78', Phliponeau A. ↓, Murcy R. ↑,
78', Detourbet M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
78', Ripart R. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
84', Monfray A. 🟨,
85', Sidibe K. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
89', Mafouta L. 🟨,
90+7', Ifnaoui M. 🟨,
90+7', Mbemba F. 🟨,
90+7', Mbemba F. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.

Recent performances by Guingamp have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Troyes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guingamp may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Guingamp: Abdallah A. (Inactive) Hatchi J. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) Koffi E. (Inactive) Matumona J. (Red Card) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ortola A. (Inactive) Planeix I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Troyes: Diop M. (Red Card) Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13:15	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Guingamp: 0.84%

Last Results with these Odds

Troyes - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
19.01.26	Nancy - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Guingamp - Laval	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Rodez - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Guingamp - Annecy	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
17.01.26	Troyes - Reims	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Bastia - Troyes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Troyes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Olympique Marcq-en-Baroeul - Troyes	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
15.12.25	Boulogne - Troyes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.09.25	Troyes - Guingamp	5:2
14.03.25	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1
16.08.24	Guingamp - Troyes	4:0
02.03.24	Guingamp - Troyes	0:0
25.11.23	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1
03.04.21	Troyes - Guingamp	1:0
01.12.20	Guingamp - Troyes	1:2

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