Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Guiseley		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.2	2.2
	2.84	3.41	2.24
	2.98	3.55	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	2.97	3.26	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.87)	3.3 ↓ (3.48)	2.2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
31.1%

Draw
27.5%

United of Manchester
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.7%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Guiseley - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 4)
4', 0 - 1, Buckley J. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Mbeka L. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Fitzmartin J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Fitzmartin J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 4, Buckley J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 4, Thewlis J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 2 - 5, Le Fondre A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guiseley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guiseley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Guiseley - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
24.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Guiseley - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWLW
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.26	United of Manchester - Hednesford Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.08.25	United of Manchester - Guiseley	2:0
26.04.25	United of Manchester - Guiseley	1:1
24.08.24	Guiseley - United of Manchester	3:2
20.04.24	Guiseley - United of Manchester	3:1
18.11.23	United of Manchester - Guiseley	3:2
07.02.23	United of Manchester - Guiseley	1:0
18.10.22	Guiseley - United of Manchester	2:1

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