Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.45	1.9
	3.24	3.86	1.93
	3.27	3.94	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.4	1.91
	3.28	3.66	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	1.92 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
28%

Draw
24.8%

United of Manchester
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Whitby Town - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fitzmartin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Whelan F. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Buckley J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, Wisdom A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 1.

Recent form of Whitby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

United of Manchester is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Whitby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

United of Manchester could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Whitby: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Whitby	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

United of Manchester - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.03.26	Warrington Town - Whitby Town	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Guiseley - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Whitby Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
21.03.26	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	United of Manchester - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.25	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	3:1
18.04.25	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	2:3
20.08.24	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	0:0
26.03.24	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	1:2
23.09.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	1:1
07.01.23	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	2:2
20.08.22	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	0:2

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