Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Guiseley		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.6
	2.19	2.69	3.71
	2.1	3.01	3.83	Watch
	2.07	2.76	3.9
	1.96	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)	2.95 ↓ (3.58)	3.71 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guiseley
44.2%

Draw
31.1%

Warrington Town
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

23.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Guiseley - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mbeka L. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Owen E. ⚽,
26', 3 - 0, Brown O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 4 - 0, Thewlis J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In recent matches, Guiseley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warrington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guiseley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guiseley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Guiseley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guiseley	11	7	1	3	24:11	13	22
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guiseley
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.26	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Guiseley - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Guiseley - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Morpeth Town - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Guiseley - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWT
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.02.26	Warrington Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ashton United - Warrington Town	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Town	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Warrington Town - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Warrington Town - Guiseley	2:0
18.02.23	Warrington Town - Guiseley	0:0
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Warrington Town - Guiseley	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
05.11.22	Guiseley - Warrington Town	1:3

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