Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Ashton United		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.4	3.05
	2	3.65	3.19
	2.03	3.77	3.21	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.1
	2.03	3.64	3.33
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.21)	3.56 ↑ (3.47)	3.18 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
45.6%

Draw
25.7%

Warrington Town
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Ashton United - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ashton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18
14	Ashton Utd	10	3	3	4	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.26	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Lancaster City - Ashton United	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Ashton United - Warrington Rylands	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hebburn Town - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	United of Manchester - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWLW
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
03.02.26	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Town	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Warrington Town - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	United of Manchester - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
13.01.26	Bamber Bridge - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.10.25	Warrington Town - Ashton United	2:1
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Ashton United - Warrington Town	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
08.04.23	Warrington Town - Ashton United	3:0
27.08.22	Ashton United - Warrington Town	2:1
19.03.22	Warrington Town - Ashton United	1:3
02.10.21	Ashton United - Warrington Town	0:1
03.03.20	Ashton United - Warrington Town	1:1

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