Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio General Gutierrez (Maipu)


	Gutiérrez de Mendoza		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.8
	2.85	3	2.4
	2.73	3.04	2.33
	2.9	3.1	2.51	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.48
	2.85	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	2.32 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
30.1%

Draw
30.5%

Costa Brava
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Costa Brava Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Gutiérrez (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gutiérrez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin J. (G)
8. Ali N.
7. Carrion T.
11. Gallo A.
10. Lucero C.
5. Marquez F.
2. Mesa F. (C)
4. Pena P.
9. Pipistrelli I.
3. Trentin J.
6. Viscarra A.
Substitutes
14. Amaya O.
12. Clavijo T. (G)
15. Garcia G.
17. Quiroga J.
18. Reveco F.
16. Zabaleta B.
13. Zapata M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
82', Marquez F. ↓, Reveco F. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Lopez A. ↓, Velasco L. ↑,
84', Gutierrez J. ↓, Noriega B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Gutiérrez is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Costa Brava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gutiérrez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Costa Brava is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Costa Brava will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.05.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:1 ✺
26.04.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:3 ✺
18.04.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.25	Costa Brava - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Costa Brava - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Costa Brava - Argentino Monte Maíz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTW

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