The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gutiérrez de Mendoza 33.3%
Draw 31.2%
Juventud Unida Universitario 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
27.2%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
26.8%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gutiérrez de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gutiérrez de Mendoza's performance.
Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gutiérrez de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Gutiérrez (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gutiérrez (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martin J. (G) 8. Ali N. 10. Arce N. 11. Gallo A. 3. Gonzalez J. 7. Luques J. 5. Marquez F. 2. Mesa F. 4. Pena P. 9. Pipistrelli I. 6. Viscarra A.
1. Taborda C. (G) 9. Dorato M. 3. Figueroa L. 4. Garro E. 10. Garro T. 6. Gimenez J. 5. Gomez M. 8. Moya S. 2. Ojeda G. 7. Pedernera G. 11. Perez L.
Substitutes
15. Amaya O. 14. Carrion T. 12. Clavijo T. (G) 18. Lucero C. 17. Quiroga J. 13. Trentin J. 16. Zabaleta B.
14. Bigo F. 15. Cordoba D. 17. Escobares Becerra I. 12. Lucero J. (G) 18. Lucero L. 16. Salinas G. 13. Videla L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Pipistrelli I. 🟨,
24', Figueroa L. 🟨,
38', Ali N. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marquez F. ↓, Amaya O. ↑,
60', Mesa F. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
67', Dorato M. ↓, Salinas G. ↑,
67', Garro T. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
76', Gallo A. ↓, Zabaleta B. ↑,
80', Pena P. 🟨,
80', Garro T. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gutiérrez won 1.
Gutiérrez has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Juventud Unida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Gutiérrez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Juventud Unida is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Juventud Unida will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gutiérrez won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gutiérrez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).