Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)


	Gwangju		Gimpo

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.35	4.4	7.25	Watch
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.35	4.6	7.6
	1.33	5.28	8.94
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.36	4.6	7.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)	4.63 ↓ (5.22)	7.8 ↓ (10.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
68.4%

Draw
19.8%

Gimpo
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

18.1%

9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

17.6%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Gimpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gwangju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimpo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Gwangju - Gimpo Predictions

Users Predictions: Gwangju will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gwangju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gwangju is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 2
30.08.22	Bucheon - Gwangju	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Gwangju - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Seoul E-Land - Gwangju	0:4 ✺
17.08.22	Gwangju - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Ansan Greeners - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWTT
- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
31.08.22	Gimpo - Ansan Greeners	0:3 ✺
27.08.22	Anyang - Gimpo	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Gimpo - Jeonnam Dragons	1:1 ✺
17.08.22	Chungnam Asan - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
14.08.22	Gimpo - Gyeongnam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
02.07.22	Gimpo - Gwangju	0:0
04.05.22	Gimpo - Gwangju	1:2
18.02.22	Gwangju - Gimpo	1:2
South Korean Cup
01.07.20	Gwangju - Gimpo	3:2 penalties

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