Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: KOREAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)


	Gwangju		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5
	1.6	4.25	5.25
	1.57	3.6	5	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.95	Watch
	1.62	4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)	3.89 ↑ (3.73)	4.88 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
57.7%

Draw
23.5%

Busan I Park
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.4%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Gwangju - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Busan I Park will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 4.

Recent matches Gwangju is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Busan I Park is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gwangju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gwangju is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Gwangju won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Gwangju won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
08.04.23	Pohang Steelers - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Gwangju - Suwon	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Gwangju - Incheon United	5:0 ✺
12.03.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Gwangju - FC Seoul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL
- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
09.04.23	Chungnam Asan - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.03.23	Anyang - Busan I Park	1:4 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
19.03.23	Busan I Park - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	Cheongju - Busan I Park	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
27.08.22	Gwangju - Busan I Park	1:0
27.07.22	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:2
28.05.22	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:3
06.04.22	Gwangju - Busan I Park	1:0
South Korean K-League 1
18.07.20	Busan I Park - Gwangju	0:0
14.06.20	Gwangju - Busan I Park	3:1
South Korean K-League 2
23.09.19	Busan I Park - Gwangju	3:2

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