Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: KOREAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Mokdong Stadium (Seoul)


	Seoul E-Land		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	2.93	3.42	2.44
	3	3.1	2.2	Watch
	2.94	3.38	2.38	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.55)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	2.29 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seoul E-Land
31.1%

Draw
28.6%

Gwangju
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

23.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seoul E-Land has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seoul E-Land's performance.

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwangju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seoul E-Land than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Seoul E Land - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seoul E-Land will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Gwangju will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gwangju: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seoul E-Land won 0.

Seoul E-Land is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gwangju is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gwangju will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Seoul E-Land won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Seoul E-Land won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seoul E-Land
South Korean K-League 2
20.05.23	Seoul E-Land - Bucheon	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Seoul E-Land - Cheonan City	3:2 ✺
06.05.23	Gimpo - Seoul E-Land	0:0 ✺
03.05.23	Gyeongnam - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Seoul E-Land - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
20.05.23	Incheon United - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Gwangju - Daegu	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	FC Seoul - Gwangju	3:1 ✺
06.05.23	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
20.08.22	Seoul E-Land - Gwangju	0:4
11.07.22	Seoul E-Land - Gwangju	2:2
07.05.22	Gwangju - Seoul E-Land	1:0
16.03.22	Gwangju - Seoul E-Land	2:1
28.09.19	Gwangju - Seoul E-Land	3:1
14.07.19	Seoul E-Land - Gwangju	0:2
20.05.19	Gwangju - Seoul E-Land	3:1

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