Match Info

K League 2 - Round 27

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Bucheon

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2	Watch
	3.25	3.4	1.93
	3.35	3.45	2
	3.64	3.66	2.04
	3.64	3.52	1.96	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.48	3.45	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.58)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
26.8%

Draw
26.7%

Bucheon
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.4%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

25.5%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Gyeongnam - Bucheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bucheon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Bucheon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bucheon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 17. Lee Jun-Jae (C) 5. Kim Hyeong-Jin 2. Park Jae-Hwan 37. Kim Seon-Ho 40. Lee Chan-Dong 42. Park Tae-Yong 20. Macedo R. 10. Bruno Costa 19. Jeong Chung-Geun 90. Lee Jung-Min	1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 20. Hong Sung-Wook 7. Thiaguinho Santos 16. Park Hyun-Bin 4. Choe Won-Cheol 11. Park Chang-Jun 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 9. Montano J. 17. Kim Kyu-Min
Substitutes
8. Do Dong-Hyeon 1. Go Dong-Min (G) 77. Ha-min K. 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 9. Leonardo Kalil 11. Park Min-Seo 33. Park Won-Jae	22. Han Ji-Ho 27. Jang Si-Young 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 5. Lee S. 23. Takahashi K.
Coaches
Lee E.	Lee Young-Min

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Choe Won-Cheol ⚽,
45+2', Choe Won-Cheol 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Park Tae-Yong 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Rodrigo Bassani (Pen),
62', Jeong Chung-Geun ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
67', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
67', Kim Kyu-Min ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,
69', Thiaguinho Santos 🟨,
75', Choe Won-Cheol ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
75', Macedo R. ↓, Do Dong-Hyeon ↑,
75', Park Tae-Yong ↓, Leonardo Kalil ↑,
76', Rodrigo Bassani 🟨,
78', Kim Seon-Ho 🟨,
82', Lee Jung-Min ↓, Kim Hyeong-Won ↑,
82', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Ha-min K. ↑,
85', Jeong Ho-Jin ↓, Lee S. ↑,
85', Montano J. ↓, Lee Eui-Hyeong ↑,
90', Kim Hyung-Keun 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Bruno Costa (Pen),
90+7', Park Hyun-Bin 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 0.

In recent matches, Gyeongnam has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bucheon is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bucheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bucheon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gyeongnam won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
23.08.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Gyeongnam - Seoul E-Land	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTTWL
- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean Cup
27.08.25	Bucheon - Gwangju	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
23.08.25	Bucheon - Cheonan City	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
20.08.25	Gwangju - Bucheon	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
15.08.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cheongju - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
28.06.25	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	2:0
10.05.25	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	0:3
15.09.24	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	1:4
20.07.24	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	2:2
31.03.24	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	2:0
29.11.23	Gyeongnam - Bucheon	0:0
24.09.23	Bucheon - Gyeongnam	1:0

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