Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday


	Gyeongju KH&NP		Yangju Citizen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.4
	1.8	3.53	4.59
	1.73	3.42	4.65
	1.71	3.45	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.27)	3.48 ↑ (3)	4.76 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongju KH&NP
54.2%

Draw
26.5%

Yangju Citizen
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gyeongju KH&NP's performance.

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yangju Citizen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gyeongju KH&NP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yangju Citizen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangju Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gyeongju KH&NP won 3.

Recent matches Gyeongju KH&NP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yangju Citizen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Yangju Citizen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gyeongju KH&NP have a series of guest games.

In this match Gyeongju KH&NP is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gyeongju KH&NP won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gyeongju KH&NP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
27.08.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Daejeon Korail - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Chuncheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
23.07.23	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Yangpyeong - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTTTW
- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
03.09.23	Yangju Citizen - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Pocheon - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
14.05.23	Yangju Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1
03.09.22	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangju Citizen	1:1
07.05.22	Yangju Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:0
13.11.21	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangju Citizen	1:0
19.06.21	Yangju Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:2
South Korean Cup
27.03.21	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangju Citizen	0:1 penalties
South Korean K3 League
04.07.20	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangju Citizen	7:0

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