Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	Yangju Citizen		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	3.6	1.5
	6.25	3.6	1.5
	6.51	3.76	1.55
	6.25	3.72	1.52	Watch
	6	3.65	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (4.42)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
14.9%

Draw
24.9%

Hwaseong
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

26.7%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26.1%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yangju Citizen's form might have worsened.

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hwaseong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yangju Citizen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hwaseong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Hwaseong is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
22.07.23	Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Siheung	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Mokpo City - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Yangpyeong - Yangju Citizen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLW
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
15.07.23	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Hwaseong - Daejeon Korail	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Chuncheon - Hwaseong	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Gangneung - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Hwaseong - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
16.04.23	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	3:0
17.09.22	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	2:1
15.05.22	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	1:0
16.10.21	Hwaseong - Yangju Citizen	3:2
11.04.21	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	0:3

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