Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday


	Yangju Citizen		Ulsan Citizen

	1	X	2
	3.85	3	1.95
	4.02	3.21	2.01
	3.78	3.3	1.93	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (4.89)	3.15 ↓ (3.5)	1.97 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
24%

Draw
29.2%

Ulsan Citizen
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

26%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

25.1%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yangju Citizen's performance.

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulsan Citizen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yangju Citizen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulsan Citizen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yangju Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ulsan Citizen will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone K3 League (Relegation) and 3).

Yangju Citizen is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ulsan Citizen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yangju Citizen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ulsan Citizen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
19.08.23	Pocheon - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Siheung	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
12.08.23	Ulsan Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:0 ✺
21.07.23	Daejeon Korail - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
29.04.23	Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen	4:2
22.10.22	Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
09.04.22	Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen	0:1
22.08.21	Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:1
17.04.21	Ulsan Citizen - Yangju Citizen	2:0

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