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Current Win Probability
Lobos UPNFM 44.8%
Draw 26.5%
Génesis PN 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
24.1%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
22.8%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos UPNFM's form might have worsened.
Génesis PN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Génesis PN's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lobos UPNFM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Génesis PN, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Valladares C. (G) 21. Guity E. 13. Gutierrez C. 20. Lopez E. 2. Lopez L. 8. Nunez J. 27. Pena K. 6. Ponce J. 9. Rochez J. (C) 46. Ruiz J. 5. Zuniga A.
1. Rodriguez D. (G) 24. Fonseca C. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 7. Miranda J. 14. Mosquera J. 17. Nunez D. 19. Perez J. 22. Sander R. 13. Tejeda A. (C) 2. Vargas A.
Substitutes
22. Ardon C. 12. Guity A. (G) 30. Herrlein L. 26. Lopez B. 32. Martinez J. 51. Martinez O. 11. Moreira R. 25. Onofre G. 7. Rochez C.
26. Arzu Zapata C. I. 12. Balanta R. A. (G) 25. Felix B. 33. Melendez D. 8. Nieto J. 30. Riascos J. 5. Rivera A. 75. Santos K. 20. Solano M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Maldonado E. 🟨,
15', Zuniga A. 🟥,
17', 0 - 1, Maldonado E. ⚽,
22', Ruiz J. ↓, Onofre G. ↑,
28', Fonseca C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guity E. ↓, Ardon C. ↑,
52', Rodriguez D. 🟥,
55', Perez J. ↓, Balanta R. A. ↑,
65', Pena K. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
65', Nunez J. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
65', Nunez D. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
82', Gutierrez C. ↓, Herrlein L. ↑,
85', Miranda J. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
85', Tejeda A. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
90', Lopez E. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 9)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Génesis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lobos UPNFM is a strong favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Honduras
Watch
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Valladares C. (G) 
Lopez L. 
Gabriel Araujo 
Herrlein L. 
Moreira R. 
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