Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday
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Puebla de la Calzada |
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Moralo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.7 |
3.3 |
1.85 |
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4.2 |
3.36 |
1.82 |
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3.89 |
3.49 |
1.84 |
 Watch |
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3.9 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
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4.06 |
3.64 |
1.82 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.25) |
3.42 ↑
(3.2) |
1.83 ↓
(2.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Puebla de la Calzada
23.2% | Draw
26.8% | Moralo
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla de la Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moralo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moralo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).Puebla has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Moralo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4). Moralo will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).Including home match between the teams, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
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| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Puebla de la Calzada - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 22.11.25 | Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada | 1:1 | | 10.05.25 | Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo | 2:3 | | 12.01.25 | Moralo - Puebla de la Calzada | 5:2 |
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