The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montehermoso 18.8%
Draw 28.2%
Moralo 53%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
28.5%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.5%
28.6%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-1%)
Montehermoso - Moralo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
Montehermoso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Moralo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Moralo is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).
Including home match between the teams, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.