Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sporting Lisbon		Monaco

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	3.25	Watch
	1.78	3.75	3.40
	1.78	4.15	3.7	Watch
	1.82	4	3.67
	1.81	4.22	3.64	Watch
	1.71	3.9	3.5
	1.83	4.39	3.4	Watch
	1.82	4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.57)	4.08 ↓ (4.1)	3.51 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
51.4%

Draw
22.5%

Monaco
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon's form might have worsened.

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sporting Lisbon - Monaco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Virginia J. (G) 6. Altimira S. 20. Araujo M. . Catamo G. 8. Doumbia I. 73. Felicissimo E. 58. Goncalves F. 90. Nel R. 72. Quaresma E. 13. Vagiannidis G. 10. Zalazar R.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 14. Biereth M. 41. Cabral P. 28. Coulibaly M. 11. Detourbet M. 3. Dier E. 10. Golovin A. 5. Kehrer T. 13. Mawissa C. 20. Nazinho 4. Teze J.
Substitutes
. Andersen S. 23. Braganca D. 55. Derry J. 50. Dias R. 41. Diego Callai (G) 15. Faye S. 22. Fresneda I. 89. Ioannidis F. 5. Lee A. 31. Luis Guilherme 85. Mota R. . Pedro Lima . Pote 1. Silva R. (G)	18. Ajroud N. 31. Assab A. 29. Brunner P. 37. Diop E. 17. Idumbo S. 16. Kohn P. (G) 50. Lienard Y. (G) . Mokabakila N. 44. Nibombe S. 38. Sane S. 49. Toure I. 12. Valy K. 8. Wamu Oyatambwe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', 🟨,
34', Doumbia I. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hradecky L. ↓, Kohn P. ↑,
46', Goncalves F. ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
46', Zalazar R. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
46', Catamo G. ↓, Pote ↑,
46', Teze J. ↓, Wamu Oyatambwe M. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Nel R. ⚽,
59', Altimira S. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
59', Doumbia I. ↓, Derry J. ↑,
59', Nel R. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Derry J. ⚽,
73', Pote ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
73', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
73', Araujo M. ↓, Dias R. ↑,

Preview

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Club Friendly
20.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Strasbourg	7:0 ✺
14.07.26	Sporting Lisbon - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Torreense	1:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
11.05.26	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- AS Monaco
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Monaco - Saint-Priest	5:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	5:4 ✺
10.05.26	Monaco - Lille	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Metz - Monaco	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Toulouse - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.17	Sporting Lisbon - Monaco	2:1
13.07.16	Monaco - Sporting Lisbon	4:1

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