Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday


	Górnik Łęczna		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	5	3.1	1.75	Watch
	4.75	3.3	1.78
	4.6	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.82
	5.19	3.31	1.87
	4.5	3.1	1.8	Watch
	4.85	3.24	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.44)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	1.82 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
19.6%

Draw
29%

Legia Warsaw
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Górnik Łęczna - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 1.

Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Legia have a series of home games.

In this match Legia is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.03.22	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.02.22	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
21.02.22	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
11.02.22	Górnik Łęczna - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTT
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.03.22	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
02.03.22	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.02.22	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Legia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Legia Warsaw - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
02.03.22	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.21	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
Polish Cup
03.12.19	Górnik Łęczna - Legia Warsaw	0:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.12.16	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	5:0
13.08.16	Górnik Łęczna - Legia Warsaw	1:0
02.12.15	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
Polish Cup
12.08.15	Górnik Łęczna - Legia Warsaw	0:2

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