Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	Górnik Łęczna		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.65	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.77	3.81	1.9
	3.68	3.59	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.7	3.56	1.88
	3.65	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.39)	3.52 ↑ (3.46)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
25.5%

Draw
26.4%

Wisła Płock
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.9%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wisła Płock (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 95. Roginic M. 6. De Amo J. 3. Grabowski M. 10. Deja A. (C) 8. Kryeziu E. 17. Spacil B. 22. Orlik K. 11. Janaszek F. 19. Banaszak P.	99. Gradecki B. (G) 91. Kuchko G. 25. Mijuskovic N. 19. Edmundsson A. 5. Nastic B. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 14. Kun D. 10. Al Hamawi A. 8. Pacheco D. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 66. Salvador I.
Substitutes
5. Broda M. 44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 15. Krawczyk S. 77. Litwa M. 27. Masar M. 23. Oduko O. 7. Traore S. 25. Zbozien D. 16. Zyra P.	7. Barnowski D. 27. Borowski B. 2. Custovic K. 16. Hiszpanski F. 18. Jimenez J. 22. Krawczyk P. 6. Pomorski K. 1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 77. Szymanski J.
Coaches
Stano P.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Grabowski M. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Sekulski L. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Janaszek F. ⚽, Deja A. (A),
41', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Kun D. ⚽, Salvador I. (A),
53', Al Hamawi A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
61', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
67', Kun D. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
67', Nastic B. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
69', Deja A. 🟨,
73', Spacil B. ↓, Oduko O. ↑,
84', Kryeziu E. ↓, Zyra P. ↑,
84', Janaszek F. ↓, Litwa M. ↑,
85', Orlik K. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
88', Salvador I. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
88', Sekulski L. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
90+1', Grabowski M. ↓, Masar M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Banaszak P. ⚽, Masar M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2.

Górnik Łęczna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wisła Płock is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wisła Płock could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
11.05.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
21.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWW
- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
12.05.25	Wisła Płock - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Wisła Kraków - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
28.04.25	Wisła Płock - Znicz Pruszków	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Wisła Płock - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
10.11.24	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	2:2
11.03.24	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
26.08.23	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.22	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	3:1
13.09.21	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	3:2
Club Friendly
28.06.17	Wisła Płock - Górnik Łęczna	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.05.17	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Płock	2:3

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