Match Info

Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Warta Poznań		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.5
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.75	2.95	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.69	3.27	2.56	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.48)	3 ↑ (2.99)	2.81 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
35.8%

Draw
31.1%

Górnik Łęczna
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Górnik Łęczna (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kajzer D. (G) 34. Plesnierowicz W. 27. Przybylko K. 44. Markov I. 3. Kielb J. (C) 65. Shibata S. 5. Tkachuk Y. 7. Gaska D. 10. Zurawski M. 11. Drzazga K. 9. Firlej M.	1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 3. Grabowski M. 6. De Amo J. 18. Barauskas D. 52. Warchol D. 8. Kryeziu E. 22. Orlik K. 10. Deja A. (C) 19. Banaszak P. 11. Janaszek F.
Substitutes
2. Bartkowski J. 18. Feliks M. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 19. Jozwicki K. 15. Kopczynski M. 12. Oleniak B. (G) 32. Rajsel N. 77. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.	44. Kostrzewski A. (G) 20. Malamis P. 23. Oduko O. 95. Roginic M. 17. Spacil B. 91. Szczytniewski S. 7. Traore S. 25. Zbozien D. 16. Zyra P.
Coaches
Tarasiewicz R.	Stano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Kryeziu E. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Warchol D. ⚽, Banaszak P. (A),
26', Kajzer D. 🟨,
34', Kielb J. ↓, Gryszkiewicz A. ↑,
45+1', Gryszkiewicz A. 🟨,
45+3', Deja A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, De Amo J. ⚽, Barauskas D. (A),
61', Drzazga K. ↓, Rajsel N. ↑,
61', Tkachuk Y. ↓, Kopczynski M. ↑,
63', Orlik K. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
63', Kryeziu E. ↓, Zyra P. ↑,
69', Markov I. ↓, Bartkowski J. ↑,
69', Zurawski M. ↓, Feliks M. ↑,
76', Warchol D. ↓, Oduko O. ↑,
77', Janaszek F. ↓, Malamis P. ↑,
81', Feliks M. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

Warta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
08.04.25	Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Warta Poznań - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Znicz Pruszków - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	ŁKS Łódź - Warta Poznań	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
08.04.25	Górnik Łęczna - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
28.09.24	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.02.22	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
06.08.21	Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań	0:4
Polish Division 1
24.04.13	Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	1:1

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