Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		Atlanta Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	3.1	Watch
	2.48	2.68	3.15
	2.67	2.73	3.3
	2.61	2.7	3.21	Watch
	2.6	2.5	3.1
	2.51	2.6	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.85)	2.66 ↓ (2.8)	3.17 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
36.1%

Draw
34.8%

Atlanta Buenos Aires
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33.3%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

32.5%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlanta Buenos Aires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Atlanta (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 5. Baier G. 3. Benitez M. 11. Berges F. 4. Bordon A. 8. Gerez M. 6. Lazza E. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J. 2. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 10. Veliz D.	1. Rago F. (G) 7. Alvarez F. 3. Arguello D. 8. Castro Ponce T. 4. Garcia M. 2. Moreira R. 5. Previtali N. 10. Puch J. 9. Quintana A. 11. Rodriguez I. 6. Rojas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Arguello D. 🟨,
45+1', Sala S. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Bordon A. ↓, Juarez W. ↑,
50', Juarez W. 🟥,
52', Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 🟨,
55', Arguello D. ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
64', Gerez M. ↓, Berges F. ↑,
67', Rojas T. 🟨,
69', Puch J. ↓, Fedele L. ↑,
69', Rodriguez I. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Quintana A. ⚽, Fedele L. (A),
76', Veliz D. ↓, Quiroz M. ↑,
76', Baier G. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
84', Alvarez F. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
84', Quintana A. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
84', Sanchez J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Castro F. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Güemes	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Güemes	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Güemes - Mitre	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Güemes - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLWTT
- Atlanta Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	1:0
03.05.25	Güemes - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0
19.02.22	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	3:1

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