Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Güemes		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3	4.8
	1.88	2.98	4.45
	1.84	3.09	4.87
	1.08	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.72)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)	4.06 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
48.6%

Draw
30.8%

Racing de Córdoba
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

34.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing de Córdoba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing de Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Güemes - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Güemes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Juarez W. 2. Monserrat N. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Arevalos N. 8. Juarez N. 5. Griffa E. 10. Gerez M. 11. Veliz D. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Palacios P.	1. Maslovski M. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Olivera W. 6. Perales V. 3. Ferrero G. 8. Castro T. 5. Rostagno G. 7. Monti L. 11. Fernandez L. 9. Chavarria P. 10. Machado M.
Substitutes
18. Albertengo M. 19. Alvarez M. 14. Bettini M. 15. Chiozza L. 17. Federico T. 13. Kruger J. 20. Lesman G. 16. Oyola A. I. 12. Pezzini N. (G)	13. Calderon E. 18. Gonzalez S. 16. Gutierrez M. 19. Marfort S. 17. Monticelli F. 15. Oviedo E. D. 14. Robles F. 12. Rougier J. (G) 20. Villegas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Veliz D. ⚽,
40', Arevalos N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rostagno G. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
61', Veliz D. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
62', Sala S. G. ↓, Chiozza L. ↑,
70', Fernandez L. ↓, Robles F. ↑,
70', Machado M. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
76', Chavarria P. ↓, Marfort S. ↑,
79', Palacios P. ↓, Lesman G. ↑,
79', Griffa E. ↓, Federico T. ↑,
83', Monti L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
90', Olivera W. 🟨,
90+1', Gerez M. ↓, Bettini M. ↑,
90+2', Marfort S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Güemes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing de Córdoba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Güemes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Güemes is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Güemes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Güemes	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Güemes - All Boys	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Alvarado - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLT
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.09.25	Racing de Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
01.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	San Miguel - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:2
11.08.24	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:0
25.03.24	Güemes - Racing de Córdoba	0:1

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