Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda (Santiago del Estero)


	Güemes		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.20	1.86
	4.10	3.10	1.88
	3.75	2.95	2.00	Watch
	4.17	3.22	2.00
	3.41	3.15	2.21	Watch
	4.10	3.15	1.98
	4.23	3.22	1.91
	4.00	3.15	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.36)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
23.2%

Draw
29.5%

Colegiales
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

31.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

29.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colegiales's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Güemes - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Güemes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Güemes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 2. Martinez M. 3. Benitez M. 4. Arnay R. 6. Melillan F. 7. Sala S. G. 5. Baier G. 8. Juarez J. 11. Gerez B. 9. Leineker C. 10. Pugliese G.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 2. Rivero F. 3. Insua E. 4. Ocampo E. 6. Ortiz L. 5. Marin F. 7. Montiel F. 11. Trinidad E. 8. Gonzalez L. 9. Albertengo M. 10. Castillo L.
Substitutes
17. Farrera S. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 15. Guinazu L. 16. Ortigoza I. 12. Palleres T. (G) 14. Rizzi F. 20. Sanchez J. 18. Silisque R. 19. Veliz D.	12. Alcorcel A. (G) 16. Buenrostro T. 13. Gaston C. 17. Juarez L. 15. Malagueno F. 19. Mamani M. 14. Miranda F. 20. Monserrat R. E. 18. Perri T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Sala S. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Castillo L. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
59', Juarez J. 🟨,
63', Pugliese G. ↓, Veliz D. ↑,
69', Arnay R. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
69', Juarez J. ↓, Silisque R. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Monserrat R. E. ⚽, Marin F. (A),
75', Montiel F. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,
76', Melillan F. ↓, Ortigoza I. ↑,
76', Leineker C. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
76', Albertengo M. ↓, Gaston C. ↑,
83', Malagueno F. 🟨,
87', Juarez L. 🟨,
90+3', Trinidad E. ↓, Miranda F. ↑,
90+5', Rivero F. 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 9th).

Güemes has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Colegiales have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Colegiales holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Güemes has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Güemes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Colegiales - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.26	Quilmes - Güemes	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Güemes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Güemes	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLT
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.26	Colegiales - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	San Martín de San Juan - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Colegiales - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Temperley - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1
31.08.25	Güemes - Colegiales	1:0
26.04.25	Colegiales - Güemes	1:0

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