Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Güemes		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.5
	1.8	3.1	5
	1.77	2.95	4.9
	1.82	3	4.5
	1.86	3.08	5.39
	1.83	2.9	4.75
	1.83	3.15	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	3.03 ↓ (3.11)	4.81 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Güemes
50.5%

Draw
30.4%

Santamarina de Tandil
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

30.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.7%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Güemes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Güemes - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18).

Recent matches Güemes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santamarina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Güemes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Güemes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Güemes	1:0 ✺
08.10.21	Güemes - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
01.10.21	Villa Dálmine - Güemes	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
17.09.21	Brown de Adrogué - Güemes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLWW
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.10.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
11.10.21	All Boys - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
04.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Santamarina de Tandil - San Telmo	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Villa Dálmine - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.06.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Güemes	1:2

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