Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Defensores de Belgrano		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.6	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.9
	2.2	2.6	3.75
	2.27	2.6	3.6
	2.39	2.73	3.85
	2.2	2.7	3.6
	2.23	2.85	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)	2.68 ↓ (2.74)	3.68 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
40.8%

Draw
34.2%

Santamarina de Tandil
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

33.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santamarina de Tandil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	23.8%	23.8%

Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Santamarina will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Defensores de Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensores de Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.09.21	All Boys - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
19.09.21	San Telmo - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
10.09.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
03.09.21	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Brown de Adrogué	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.21	Santamarina de Tandil - San Telmo	0:2 ✺
18.09.21	Villa Dálmine - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
10.09.21	Santamarina de Tandil - San Martín de San Juan	0:0 ✺
04.09.21	Brown de Adrogué - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
29.08.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
13.03.20	Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0
23.09.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
16.09.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	✺

Defensores de Belgrano - Santamarina de Tandil