Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.75
	1.8	3.15	5.1
	1.86	3.21	5.03
	1.73	3.4	4.33
	1.82	3.28	4.95	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.66)	3.28 ↓ (3.51)	4.78 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
51.8%

Draw
28.6%

Güemes
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Defensores de Belgrano - Güemes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 3. Del Grecco N. 5. Bonacorso E. 4. Moreira R. 2. Sanchez S. 6. Gutierrez I. 8. Ceratto M. 7. Benitez M. 11. Benegas N. 9. Salto C. 10. Aguirre E.	1. Mendonca J. (G) 2. Machuca B. 4. Vera M. 6. Bellone A. O. 3. Sambataro M. 10. Benega S. 5. Garcia M. 8. Bellone M. 11. Alvarez L. 9. Cano L. 7. Casa M.
Substitutes
18. Baiardino J. 17. Chavez F. 16. De Tomasso J. 13. Levi M. 15. Medaglia E. 19. Moyano P. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 14. Torres D.	17. Carruega S. 18. Contreras E. 14. Gamarra G. 19. Maggi I. 12. Romero J. (G) 20. Santa Cruz I. 13. Serrano I. E. 16. Vallejos I. 15. Zurita M.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Perazzo W

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).

Defensores de Belgrano in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Güemes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.23	Patronato Parana - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Alvarado - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
31.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	4:2 ✺
24.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWTWW
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.08.23	Güemes - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Deportivo Morón - Güemes	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Güemes	0:1 ✺
14.07.23	Güemes - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.04.23	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
04.09.22	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
15.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Güemes	1:0
23.06.21	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	2:2

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