Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Güemes

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.04	2.88	3.85
	2.06	2.95	3.65
	2.2	2.83	4.22
	2.1	2.75	3.9
	2.07	2.81	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.14)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	3.86 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
44.2%

Draw
31.8%

Güemes
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

32.5%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	71.4%	7.1%

Brown de Adrogué - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 21 and 25).

Brown de Adrogué has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Güemes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brown de Adrogué will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.22	All Boys - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
21.08.22	San Telmo - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
14.08.22	Brown de Adrogué - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
08.08.22	San Martín de San Juan - Brown de Adrogué	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.22	Güemes - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	4:0 ✺
22.08.22	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
16.08.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Güemes	2:0 ✺
08.08.22	Güemes - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.09.21	Brown de Adrogué - Güemes	1:3
09.05.21	Güemes - Brown de Adrogué	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
02.11.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Brown de Adrogué	✺
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	Güemes - Temperley	✺

Brown de Adrogué - Güemes