The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santamarina de Tandil 31.1%
Draw 33.1%
Club Almagro 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
33.2%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
34.1%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
52.6%
15.8%
Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Almagro will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 75.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 35 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 1.
Santamarina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Almagro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.