Match Info

Date: 8 August 2022, Monday

Location: Bravida Arena (Gothenburg)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Häcken		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	8	Watch
	1.31	5.75	7.75
	1.3	5.8	9
	1.3	5.6	7.6
	1.33	5.78	9.54
	1.29	5	8	Watch
	1.29	5.9	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	5.62 ↑ (4.37)	8.38 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
72%

Draw
16.8%

Helsingborg
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.4%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	6.2%	9.9%

Häcken - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: Häcken will win (68 of 81 users predict this - 83.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.96% – 91.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Häcken has the most likely position - 2 (21.02%), has project points - 56, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (19%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 14 (29.73%), has project points - 23, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 20, importance 53, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Häcken won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Häcken could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Häcken is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Häcken: Traore B. (Broken Leg) Trpchevski F. (Injury)

There will not play in Helsingborg: Hendriksson Olsen B. (Injury) Suljic A. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Häcken won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Häcken won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.07.22	Elfsborg - Häcken	4:4 ✺
24.07.22	Häcken - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
18.07.22	Sundsvall - Häcken	1:5 ✺
10.07.22	Mjällby - Häcken	1:2 ✺
03.07.22	Häcken - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWT
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.07.22	Helsingborg - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
18.07.22	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
11.07.22	Helsingborg - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
02.07.22	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
27.06.22	Malmö - Helsingborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.22	Helsingborg - Häcken	1:1
Svenska Cupen
07.03.21	Häcken - Helsingborg	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.20	Helsingborg - Häcken	0:0
29.06.20	Häcken - Helsingborg	1:0
Club Friendly
04.04.20	Häcken - Helsingborg	Canceled
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.19	Helsingborg - Häcken	0:2
06.04.19	Häcken - Helsingborg	2:1

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