Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 22

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Hércules		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.9
	2.02	3.05	3.65
	1.99	3.09	4.08
	2	3.13	4	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.97	3.21	4.03
	1.93	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	3.92 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
46.7%

Draw
30%

Cartagena
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

30%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Hércules - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hércules will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hércules (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 24. Jimenez J. 6. Colomina R. 23. Calavera J. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 19. Sol F. 11. Ropero U.	13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 12. Ebro Cortina E. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. 8. De Blasis P. 6. Fidalgo A. 10. Larrea P. 7. Rahmani Y. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 13. Blazic A. (G) 17. De Leon J. 10. Espinosa N. 28. Galvan J. 8. Mangada C. 21. Retu 26. Sergio G. F. 9. Slavy 20. Sotillos A.	31. Abellan I. 14. Alcaniz E. 36. Esquerdo V. 3. Jimenez N. 33. Jimeno G. 15. Jules J. 2. Jurado M. 35. Lopez J. 1. Martinez I. (G) 21. Ramirez B. 11. Redondo L. 4. Serrano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Larrea P. 🟨,
35', Rahmani Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', De Blasis P. 🟨,
54', Larrea P. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
62', Ropero U. ↓, Espinosa N. ↑,
69', Calavera J. 🟨,
76', Escudero A. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
76', Calavera J. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
77', Rahmani Y. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
77', Perejon D. ↓, Jurado M. ↑,
79', Ebro Cortina E. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Sol F. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hércules is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	6	3	2	1	9:4	5	11
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagena - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.01.26	Tarazona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Hércules - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Hércules - Sabadell	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Marbella - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTLW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.01.26	Cartagena - CE Europa	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Villarreal B - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4 ✺
03.01.26	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cartagena - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.09.25	Cartagena - Hércules	2:1
Club Friendly
14.08.19	Cartagena - Hércules	1:2
01.08.17	Hércules - Cartagena	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.09.16	Cartagena - Hércules	1:2 penalties
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.12	Cartagena - Hércules	0:3

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