The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarreal B 44.1%
Draw 28.2%
Cartagena 27.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.7%
27%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
28.2%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Villarreal B - Cartagena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 14. Fores A. 5. Garcia A. 23. Diallo M. 3. Ortiz E. (C) 6. Pascual P. 16. Valls A. 10. Viveros F. 20. Barattucci N. 7. Gaitan J. 9. Garcia A.
13. Garcia L. (G) 2. Jurado M. 24. Lohr L. 5. Baz I. 19. Corral A. 14. Villa T. 8. De Blasis P. (C) 15. Jules J. 17. Dacosta R. 10. Ribeiro I. 16. Moreno M.
Substitutes
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 19. Barry M. 11. Bonafe C. 25. Camara M. 15. Chukwuma E. 2. Encuentra J. 22. Fofana D. 18. Gomez V. 21. Keita M. 4. Pujol E. 13. Quevedo A. (G)
31. Abellan I. 21. Ajenjo J. 22. Martinez N. 18. Perejon D. 11. Ramirez B. 1. Reyes J. (G) 9. Ribeiro 20. Richarte R. 4. Serrano R.
Coaches
Albelda D.
Velez I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Barattucci N. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽, Jurado M. (A),
34', Baz I. 🟨,
35', Villa T. ↓, Richarte R. ↑,
41', Albelda D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Viveros F. ⚽,
60', Pascual P. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
60', Garcia A. ↓, Fofana D. ↑,
65', Ribeiro I. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Fofana D. ⚽, Fores A. (A),
72', Viveros F. ↓, Bonafe C. ↑,
79', Baz I. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
80', Moreno M. ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
80', Jurado M. ↓, Perejon D. ↑,
83', Bonafe C. 🟨,
86', Gaitan J. ↓, Arguigue Safsati A. ↑,
86', Barattucci N. ↓, Barry M. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Bonafe C. ⚽, Barry M. (A),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 4th in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 3.
Villarreal B has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cartagena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cartagena may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Villarreal B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal B has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villarreal B against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Villarreal B
9
6
2
1
21:10
11
20
5
FC Cartagena SAD
9
4
3
2
14:9
5
15
Last Results with these Odds
Cartagena - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.35%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Kinareykin Y. (G) 
Fores A. 
Diallo M. 
Viveros F. 
Garcia L. (G) 
Jules J. 
Arguigue Safsati A. 
Barry M. 
Chukwuma E. 
Ajenjo J. 
Reyes J. (G) 
Ribeiro 
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