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Current Win Probability
Villarreal B 47.5%
Draw 29.5%
Cartagena 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
30%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
29.1%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal B's performance.
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartagena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Villarreal B - Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal B: 100% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal B will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 7. Moreno V. (C) 8. Diatta A. 22. Viveros F. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 9. Rubio A. 30. Garcia A.
1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Jurado M. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 3. Jimenez N. 18. Perejon D. 14. Alcaniz E. 8. De Blasis P. (C) 6. Fidalgo A. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki
Substitutes
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 14. Fores A. 26. Gaitan J. 5. Gil F. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 11. Lopez H. 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 29. Ruiz A. 23. Valou J.
. Caye 29. Checo 26. Esquerdo V. 13. Garcia L. (G) 20. Gomez D. . Jose Ismael 10. Larrea P. 22. Martinez N. 9. Ortuno A. 11. Redondo L. 30. Reyes J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Rubio A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Tidiane Thiam C. ⚽,
45+8', Spatz L. M. 🟨,
45+8', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Budesca D. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', Viveros F. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
70', Garcia A. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
70', Perejon D. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
70', Alcaniz E. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
79', Serrano R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
81', Rubio A. ↓, Arguigue Safsati A. ↑,
82', Martinez N. 🟨,
90+2', Moreno V. ↓, Pascual P. ↑,
90+2', Tidiane Thiam C. ↓, Valou J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 3.
In recent matches, Villarreal B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cartagena is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Villarreal B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Villarreal B
6
4
1
1
12:6
6
13
5
FC Cartagena SAD
6
3
2
1
9:4
5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Villarreal B - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.