Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jaramillo F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	19:00	Footballclub


	Cartagena		CE Europa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.25
	1.57	3.60	5.00
	1.55	3.6	5.3
	1.59	3.75	5.6
	1.61	3.78	5.4	Watch
	1.57	3.7	5.4
	1.61	3.83	5.43
	1.57	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	3.7 ↑ (3.35)	5.32 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
58.1%

Draw
24.7%

CE Europa
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.8%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.

CE Europa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Cartagena - CE Europa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. (C) 15. Jules J. 8. De Blasis P. 14. Villa T. 10. Ribeiro I. 17. Dacosta R. 16. Moreno M.	13. Ruiz N. (G) 2. Coto E. 4. Cano A. (C) 3. Sgro M. 15. Edo V. 14. Morales V. 8. Gori 19. Mascaro J. 18. Teto A. 7. Ribeiro F. 9. Noureddine K.
Substitutes
31. Abellan I. 6. Claveria P. 19. Corral A. 2. Jurado M. 3. Kelo G. 24. Lohr L. 7. Mohamed A. 11. Ramirez B. 1. Reyes J. (G) 9. Ribeiro 20. Richarte R.	10. Angles Sanchez M. 5. Campeny A. 16. Cardelus G. 11. Exposito A. 1. Madrigal L. (G) 22. Padillo A. 21. Pallares S. 23. Tito Tolosa
Coaches
Velez I.	Blanco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, De Blasis P. ⚽, Martinez N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Moreno M. ⚽, Ribeiro I. (A),
54', 3 - 0, Moreno M. ⚽,
63', Morales V. ↓, Tito Tolosa ↑,
63', Coto E. ↓, Exposito A. ↑,
63', Mascaro J. ↓, Padillo A. ↑,
66', Dacosta R. ↓, Richarte R. ↑,
66', Ribeiro I. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
71', Tito Tolosa 🟨,
72', Ribeiro F. ↓, Angles Sanchez M. ↑,
73', Exposito A. 🟨,
74', Moreno M. ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
74', Villa T. ↓, Claveria P. ↑,
81', Teto A. ↓, Pallares S. ↑,
85', De Blasis P. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
90+6', Padillo A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th and 16th in the Relegation).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Cartagena may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cartagena carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cartagena has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cartagena against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Cartagena SAD	9	4	3	2	14:9	5	15
18	CE Europa	9	2	1	6	6:15	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.26	Antequera - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	Cartagena - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cartagena - Águilas	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zaragoza - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWLT
- CE Europa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.26	CE Europa - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Huesca - CE Europa	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	CE Europa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Murcia - CE Europa	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.01.26	Cartagena - CE Europa	2:2
16.11.25	CE Europa - Cartagena	2:0

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