Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)


	Hércules		Formentera

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.78	6.82
	1.47	3.92	6.99
	1.47	3.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	3.9 ↑ (3.45)	6.46 ↑ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
62.3%

Draw
23.5%

Formentera
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

26.5%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Hércules - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Hércules is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Formentera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hércules is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.01.24	Espanyol B - Hércules	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Lleida - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.23	Hércules - Torrellano	7:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.12.23	Hércules - Badalona Futur	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Peña Deportiva - Hércules	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW
- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.01.24	Formentera - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Formentera - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Penya Independent - Formentera	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Formentera - Andratx	2:3 ✺
03.12.23	Sant Andreu - Formentera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.09.23	Formentera - Hércules	1:2
19.03.23	Hércules - Formentera	1:0
30.10.22	Formentera - Hércules	2:1
11.03.18	Hércules - Formentera	1:0
22.10.17	Formentera - Hércules	1:1

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