Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 22

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Hércules		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.2	1.92
	3.58	3.22	1.99
	3.73	3.18	2.02	Watch
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.58	3.24	1.95
	4.5	3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (4.5)	3.14 ↑ (3)	1.93 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
24.4%

Draw
28.8%

Isidro Metapán
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

28.2%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Isidro Metapán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Hércules - Isidro Metapán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Posada C. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Vasquez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Isidro Metapán is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

Hércules is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Isidro Metapán's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Isidro Metapán has had a series of home games.

Isidro Metapán will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metapan	13	8	2	3	20:12	8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division
26.04.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Hércules	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
23.04.26	Cacahuatique - Hércules	1:2 penalties ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
19.04.26	Hércules - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:2 ✺
15.04.26	Cacahuatique - Hércules	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Hércules - Inter FA	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 TWTWT
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
25.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Fuerte San Francisco	1:3 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
21.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
18.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Cacahuatique	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
07.03.26	Isidro Metapán - Hércules	1:1
16.11.25	Hércules - Isidro Metapán	0:2
13.09.25	Isidro Metapán - Hércules	3:1

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