The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Isidro Metapán 63.9%
Draw 22.3%
Fuerte San Francisco 13.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.5%
23.6%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
22.9%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Isidro Metapán - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Caicedo A. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Flores C. N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
83', 2 - 1, Oliva J. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, Salazar C. ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 2, Corea D. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Isidro Metapán won 1.
Isidro Metapán is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Fuerte have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The betting markets point to Isidro Metapán as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Isidro Metapán has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Isidro Metapán against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).
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