The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Isidro Metapán 62.9%
Draw 22.9%
Cacahuatique 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
28.4%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
27.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Isidro Metapán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Isidro Metapán's performance.
Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cacahuatique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (-18.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Isidro Metapán that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cacahuatique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Isidro Metapán - Cacahuatique Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Isidro Metapán will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Guerra S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', Galindo J. 🟥,
90+9', 2 - 0, Oliva J. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Isidro Metapán won 1.
In recent outings, Isidro Metapán has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cacahuatique has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Cacahuatique may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Isidro Metapán has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, Isidro Metapán enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Isidro Metapán has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Isidro Metapán against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 0.8:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Metapan
13
8
2
3
20:12
8
26
11
Cacahuatique
14
2
5
7
14:24
-10
11
Last Results with these Odds
Isidro Metapán - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
El-salvador
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