Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Referee: Caballero J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub


	Hércules		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.30	4.50
	1.70	3.40	4.33
	1.75	3.20	4.35
	1.80	3.20	5.60
	1.74	3.51	4.76	Watch
	1.69	3.10	5.50
	1.75	3.47	4.73
	1.69	3.35	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)	4.77 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
53.2%

Draw
27.6%

Real Jaén
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Hércules - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Blazic A. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. (C) 15. Cantero Y. 23. Jimenez J. 8. Rico M. 18. Fidalgo A. 20. Escudero A. 11. Jimenez A. 22. Narro V. 17. Antonin	1. Morillas J. (G) 21. Sanhaji M. 4. Pol J. 6. Alvarez J. 24. Perez A. 3. Serrano D. 22. Lozano O. 10. Adri P. 8. Caballero A. (C) 18. Castillo N. 14. Polo C.
Substitutes
14. Ben Hamed N. 5. Cantero R. 12. de Palmas R. 21. Galvan J. 16. Gismera A. 3. Lopez D. 7. Obeng I. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 10. Soldevila O. 19. Sol F. 9. Toril A. 1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G)	20. Cabello M. 13. Carrasco S. (G) 16. Chino 7. Gallego F. 2. Gomez D. 19. Keita M. 5. Marquez D. 23. Rodriguez D. 9. Siverio M.
Coaches
Company B.	Herrero M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Jimenez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Escudero A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Rico M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
67', Polo C. ↓, Siverio M. ↑,
67', Lozano O. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
74', Antonin ↓, Toril A. ↑,
74', Escudero A. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
74', Adri P. ↓, Chino ↑,
74', Castillo N. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
85', Narro V. ↓, Soldevila O. ↑,
85', Jimenez A. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
87', Soldevila O. 🟥,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).

In recent outings, Hércules has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Jaén is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Hércules for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hércules has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hércules against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jaen	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	11
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.09.26	Águilas - Hércules	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	CE Europa - Hércules	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Hércules - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.26	Antequera - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Jaén - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Teruel - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Jaén - Huesca	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	CE Europa - Real Jaén	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.14	Real Jaén - Hércules	1:1
27.10.13	Hércules - Real Jaén	0:1

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