Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Rico Pérez (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Hércules		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.1	5.5
	1.8	3.1	4.75
	2.79	1.83	5.92	Watch
	1.73	2.9	4.8
	1.72	3.2	5.68
	1.66	3.1	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.77)	2.87 ↓ (2.99)	5.33 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules
49.6%

Draw
32.7%

Sevilla B
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

30.1%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

28.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Hércules - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 5. Monsalve N. 20. Sotillos A. 24. Jimenez J. 2. Vazquez S. 28. Galvan J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 6. Colomina R. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 11. Ropero U. 19. Sol F.	13. Flores A. (G) 4. Munoz I. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 12. Kpebane T. 6. Rivera P. 8. Altozano E. 27. Guillen N. 23. Dominguez I. 26. Sow B. 9. Costa A.
Substitutes
3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 13. Blazic A. (G) 15. Cantero R. 17. De Leon J. 23. de Palmas R. 10. Espinosa N. 16. Gomes V. 8. Mangada C. 21. Retu 18. Rojas C. 9. Slavy	31. Alcaide E. 28. Castillo M. 42. Ciria A. 10. Collado A. 3. Lopez D. 35. Mendez T. 2. Moreno J. 32. Naranjo M. 1. Romero R. (G) 17. Sow I. 18. Villar I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Sotillos A. 🟨,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Sow B. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
55', Costa A. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
60', Galvan J. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
85', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
85', Sol F. ↓, Slavy ↑,
87', Dominguez I. ↓, Alcaide E. ↑,
90+1', Altozano E. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Hércules have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sevilla B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hércules may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hércules is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.26	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Hércules - Sabadell	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Marbella - Hércules	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hércules - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWTW
- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.01.26	Sevilla B - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Algeciras - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Sevilla B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.10.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	2:0
23.02.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	1:0
01.12.24	Hércules - Sevilla B	1:0

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