Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Toolon Pallokentta (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	HIFK		HPS

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	4.75
	1.50	4.40	4.30
	1.55	5.00	4.40
	1.48	4.87	4.72	Watch
	1.52	4.65	4.25
	1.55	4.71	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	4.73 ↑ (4.1)	4.52 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
60.5%

Draw
19.3%

HPS
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

21.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

17.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HIFK's performance.

HPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPS than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

HIFK - HPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jammeh S. (C) 80. Adam Y. 15. Auranen A. 10. Erikson Carlos 6. Hukka N. 23. Kurvinen T. 22. Ollikainen O. 20. Pirttinen N. 4. Puro E. 5. Saynio E. 25. Valto O.	25. Tamminen J. (G) 37. Alatalo A. 5. Immonen N. 12. Kajanoja K. 26. Kilic B. 20. Lindstrom A. 2. Merilainen K. 4. Niskanen M. 10. Rekola B. 11. Ryhanen T. 19. Saukkonen J.
Substitutes
93. Abdi A. (G) 29. Finnas R. 21. Hypponen A. 2. Kaukamo E. 19. Kiema N. 18. Kyllonen L. 9. Saira N. 14. Salim S.	21. Boughrara H. 27. Gronberg S. 1. Hallikainen L. (G) 23. Heiskanen L. 33. Kuusniemi T. 46. Lamberg E. 45. Painilainen A. 7. Simonov I. 24. Sipola J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Valto O. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Erikson Carlos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Puro E. ↓, Kyllonen L. ↑,
61', Rekola B. ↓, Gronberg S. ↑,
61', Kajanoja K. ↓, Sipola J. ↑,
70', Erikson Carlos ↓, Hypponen A. ↑,
72', Niskanen M. ↓, Simonov I. ↑,
72', Ryhanen T. ↓, Boughrara H. ↑,
77', Painilainen A. 🟨,
77', Kilic B. 🟨,
77', Kyllonen L. 🟨,
83', Auranen A. 🟨,
87', Immonen N. ↓, Heiskanen L. ↑,
90', Hypponen A. 🟨,
90+1', Saukkonen J. 🟨,
90+2', Painilainen A. 🟥,
90+2', Erikson Carlos 🟨,
90+5', Ollikainen O. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Alatalo A. ⚽,
90+7', Kurvinen T. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by HIFK have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, HIFK is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 2.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, HIFK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
28.08.26	Atlantis Helsinki - HIFK	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - HIFK	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	HIFK - Atlantis Helsinki	3:5 ✺
08.08.26	HIFK - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	HPS - HIFK	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTT
- Helsingin Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
30.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kiffen 08 - HPS	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	HPS - Union Plaani	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - HPS	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	HPS - HIFK	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
01.08.26	HPS - HIFK	5:5
22.05.26	HIFK - HPS	0:2

HIFK - HPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide