Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HJK TV
Montenegro	TVCG 2
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	HJK		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.33	6.75
	1.44	4.3	7	Watch
	1.45	4.2	7.03
	1.47	4.21	6.68
	1.43	4.5	6.97	Watch
	1.44	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.25 ↑ (4.05)	6.85 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
64.5%

Draw
21.9%

Dečić Tuzi
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

21.3%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dečić Tuzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	10.4%	6.2%

HJK - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Users Predictions: HJK will win (40 of 47 users predict this - 85.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.93% – 95.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Nijhuis T. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 45. Tomas D. 6. Halme A. 30. Pallas N. 23. Kokcu O. 10. Lingman L. (C) 8. Kanellopoulos G. 7. Hostikka S. 9. Plange L. 94. Erwin L.	1. Nikic I. (G) 22. Dresaj J. (C) 4. Milic S. 5. Tomasevic Z. 6. Malesevic L. 20. Sekulovic P. 8. Chagas C. 11. Puleio I. 10. Kajevic A. 77. Strikovic V. 50. Matic B.
Substitutes
99. Albanese A. 3. Antzoulas G. 17. Bande H. 24. Boamah M. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 42. Meriluoto K. 22. Moller L. 1. Ost J. (G) 80. Palumets K. 37. Tanaka A. 4. Toivio J.	14. Bajovic A. 16. Bozanovic M. 7. Bozovic D. 9. Camaj I. 3. Gjelaj R. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 18. Maras L. 12. Masovic A. 33. Stijepovic O. 17. Ujkaj L. 13. Velimirovic P. (G)
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Pekovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Kajevic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Erwin L. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
63', Strikovic V. ↓, Stijepovic O. ↑,
63', Sekulovic P. ↓, Bozanovic M. ↑,
65', Chagas C. 🟨,
66', Stijepovic O. 🟨,
67', Tomasevic Z. 🟨,
67', Kokcu O. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
67', Pallas N. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
76', Matic B. ↓, Camaj I. ↑,
76', Kajevic A. ↓, Bozovic D. ↑,
79', Lingman L. 🟨,
81', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
82', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
82', Plange L. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
82', Hostikka S. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
84', Tanaka A. 🟨,
87', Bozovic D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match HJK is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.08.24	Lahti - HJK	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	HJK - Oulu	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	HJK - Haka	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	HJK - Panevėžys	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	Panevėžys - HJK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWTL
- FK Dečić Tuzi
Montenegrin First League
04.08.24	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - Dinamo Batumi	0:0 ✺
24.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Dečić Tuzi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	The New Saints - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWTL

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