Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	IFK Mariehamn		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	7	4.1	1.4	Watch
	7.4	4.45	1.41	Watch
	7.85	4.83	1.44
	7.01	4.75	1.43	Watch
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	6.74	4.55	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.08 ↑ (6.31)	4.5 ↑ (4.4)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Mariehamn
13.2%

Draw
20.8%

KuPS Kuopio
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

20.9%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

20.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Riikonen M. (G) 38. Amankwah Y. 4. Lindgren P. 2. Nurmi N. 5. Koivisto T. 6. Dosis N. 16. Huttunen A. 31. Ngulube S. 20. Patut E. 43. Andersson L. 10. Dahlstrom S. (C)	1. Kreidl J. (G) 33. Hamalainen T. 28. Magassa B. 4. Adams K. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 13. Kujasalo N. 3. Heiskanen S. 34. Ruoppi O. 19. Kabuye C. 9. Engvall G. (C)
Substitutes
8. Heyden J. 7. Larsson A. 21. Lundberg A. 1. Lund K. (G) 11. Pearce L. 3. Soiniemi A.	23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 20. Soumahoro S. 18. Tanninen E.
Coaches
Williams G.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Dahlstrom S. 🟨,
35', Kabuye C. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Huttunen A. ⚽, Amankwah Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
64', Dosis N. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
64', Andersson L. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
69', Heiskanen S. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
78', Hamalainen T. ↓, Puukko A. ↑,
82', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
89', Huttunen A. ↓, Soiniemi A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mariehamn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, KuPS is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Mariehamn: Bergvik A. (Injury) Nunez W. (Inactive)

There will not play in KuPS: Armah B. (Red Card) Pasanen S. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1:1.9).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - Puistolan Urheilijat	3:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.05.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	HPS - IFK Mariehamn	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.04.26	Inter Turku - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWL
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Cup
12.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.06.25	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:0
23.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	4:1
25.08.24	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	3:0
Finnish Cup
16.06.24	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.04.24	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	2:2
Finnish Cup
05.07.23	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	2:1 penalties
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.23	KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn	0:1

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