Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 6

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:00	Ruutu+
International	15:00	Onefootball


	TPS		HJK

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.67	Watch
	4.6	4	1.66
	4.7	3.7	1.68	Watch
	4.79	4.07	1.7
	4.64	4.08	1.67	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.67
	4.55	3.98	1.68	Watch
	6	4.6	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (6)	4.01 ↓ (4.6)	1.64 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
19.6%

Draw
23.3%

HJK
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15%

19.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

19.2%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

TPS - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: HJK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 15. Azongnitode C. 3. Turkki E. 6. Juvanteny P. 22. Zaal T. 10. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 11. Vauhkonen E. 13. Tsirigotis T.	44. Markovic M. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 31. Bogicevic M. 6. Tikkanen V. 14. Montano L. 8. Mentu P. 17. Kirilov M. 10. Lingman L. (C) 22. Moller L. 9. Borchers M. 7. Cicale A.
Substitutes
41. Anini S. 8. Coulibaly A. 26. Ikonen L. 9. Ivanovic L. 77. Karkulowski T. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 4. Sairinen A. 28. Vakiparta T.	19. Ezeh D. 15. Kallinen J. 26. Lappalainen L. 24. Levealahti E. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 18. Mero T. 1. Ost J. (G) 62. Palmula L. 20. Pukki T.
Coaches
Pinol I.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Juvanteny P. 🟨,
34', Montano L. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Tsirigotis T. ⚽, Turkki E. (A),
57', Kirilov M. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
60', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
63', Mentu P. 🟨,
73', Azongnitode C. ↓, Karkulowski T. ↑,
73', Konkkola M. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,
77', Borchers M. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
77', Moller L. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
77', Cicale A. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
86', Haggstrom O. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,
86', Turkki E. ↓, Sairinen A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, HJK is a strong favorite.

There will not play in TPS: Ivanovic L. (Inactive) Talo N. (Inactive)

There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T. (Inactive) Hudd R. (Inactive) Ring A. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:41. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	HJK	29	15	7	7	55:34	21	52

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

HJK: 23.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	FF Jaro - TPS	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Salon Palloilijat - TPS	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.04.26	TPS - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	TPS - SJK	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.26	Ekenäs - TPS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTWW
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.05.26	HJK - Lahti	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Gnistan - HJK	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	HJK - Oulu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.02.26	HJK - TPS	3:1
Club Friendly
28.03.24	HJK - TPS	5:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.09.20	HJK - TPS	2:2
22.07.20	TPS - HJK	0:2
Finnish Cup
23.06.20	TPS - HJK	0:1
25.01.20	HJK - TPS	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.10.18	TPS - HJK	0:4

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