Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HJK TV
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Motherwell		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.33
	1.78	3.4	4.25	Watch
	1.81	3.54	4.43
	1.74	3.74	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.4	4.4
	1.85	3.72	4.13	Watch
	1.77	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	4.32 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
52.6%

Draw
25.9%

HJK
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.9%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Motherwell - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). HJK will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulsen A. (G) 22. Koutroumbis J. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 8. Fadinger L. (C) 12. Priestman O. 19. Said I. 11. Lowry A. 17. Charles-Cook R. 18. Maswanhise T.	44. Markovic M. (G) 13. Simojoki K. 6. Tikkanen V. 5. Nallo A. 14. Montano L. 4. Ring A. (C) 29. Haarala S. 8. Mentu P. 18. Mero T. 9. Borchers M. 7. Cicale A.
Substitutes
27. Booth M. 32. Hunter R. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 29. McAllister Z. 31. McConnell J. (G) 24. Ross L. 34. Thomson A. 77. Vogt W. 36. Weir L. 25. Whyte O. 23. Wilson E.	3. Cissokho T. 32. Gueye M. 12. Haapanen M. (G) 15. Kallinen J. 17. Kirilov M. 26. Lappalainen L. 10. Lingman L. 1. Ost J. (G) 20. Pukki T. 28. Ylitolva M.
Coaches
Johansson A.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Cicale A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Said I. ⚽, Lowry A. (A),
57', Ring A. 🟨,
59', Priestman O. ↓, Whyte O. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Said I. ⚽, Lowry A. (A),
65', Koutroumbis J. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
65', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
68', Haarala S. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
68', Tikkanen V. ↓, Cissokho T. ↑,
68', Borchers M. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
75', Ring A. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
78', Lowry A. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
78', Maswanhise T. ↓, Booth M. ↑,
79', Cicale A. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Motherwell is considered a favorite.

We predict that Motherwell will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Motherwell won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Motherwell - Falkirk	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	HJK - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
02.08.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	HB Tórshavn - Motherwell	0:3 ✺
23.07.26	Motherwell - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWW
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	Oulu - HJK	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	HJK - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.08.26	SJK - HJK	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Coleraine - HJK	0:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.07.26	HJK - TPS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	HJK - Motherwell	1:1

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